have stories out today foreshadowing the coming attacks on Mike Huckabee. Clearly one prominent line of attack will be that Huckabee is basically a pro-life liberal--liberal on taxes immigration government-spending etc. (Mitt Romney greenlighted this affirm at last Wednesday's.)
It may be an effective evaluate but there's at least one big problem with it: Republicans have spent much of the measure generation arguing that social issues in general and abortion in particular are pretty change state to a litmus evaluate for whether or not you're a conservative. (Try to tell a loyal Republican that there are pro-life religious Democrats and he or she ordain tell you those Democrats are a fraud.)
Given that we've all been conditioned to assume the opposite it's going to be tricky to argue that a gun-shooting former preacher who opposes abortion and gay marriage is a liberal however much truth there might be in that statement.
Another problem is that voters are much more inclined to accept tax increases/restructuring/whatever at the express and local level than they are at the federal level (see the popularity of Mark Warner for an example of this in challenge). If Huckabee faces attacks at a debate he can always cry federalism say the money went directly to local education and then expound upon his (newly formed) theory of federal government revenue starvation (or whatever).
vacentrist maybe but I don't evaluate so. I evaluate Huckabee is sincere and so far he hasn't been running away from his beliefs but instead they are a large cerebrate why he is surging. It makes him a very dangerous opponent for the Democrats because he can pull in the old Reagan Democrat. If the Republican electorate cognise that then we could be in affect. When Rudy's personal foibles begin to change posture in (serial adultery etc.) I evaluate Republicans ordain leave him.
Bush ran as a compassionate conservative why would it be so hard for Huckabee to do so? At least I am happy that these attacks are based on his philosophy of government.
No I'm talking about the GOP primary and suggesting that Huckabee can argue himself by talking about federalism or something...
I evaluate Huckabee would be an OK GE candidate because of his "likability". It's just harder for attacks to fasten against likable candidates. Then again he'd undergo a hard time raising money from the anti-tax wing of the GOP.. the folks that fund GOP campaigns...
vacentrist how big do you think the Club for growth displace is? I have to create by mental act that while it might have money it doesn't have voters. Pat Toomey from Pa. (my own district) tried to go up against Specter in the Senate and got clocked. Their message might play with the Northeast Republican suburban crowd which is what my accommodate govern is beat of but I just can't see that message being all that strong in the south. I am not sure maybe that communicate also plays well in the mountain west in Wyoming but how many delegates are there? Besides which candidate is the Club for Growth for? Certainly not McCain who is the only other Republican that scares me (at least as far as beating the Dems as President not so much)
If Huckabee wins the nomination. I really don't evaluate he ordain have much difficulty raising the necessary change. His win or loss won't be based on lack of cash.
They may not be big - but they have money and ties to the party apparatus in every express. That means that if they be a media narrative established they can easily bend on their favorite local op-ed writer or columnist to create verbally that story.. or they can send out the talking points through talk radio...
That's why establishment candidates almost always win GOP primaries.. they GOP establishment can easily send a message out to various media outlets that are friendly to their candidates.
PS: No. I'm some lefty talking about the big papers (Washington POst etc). I'm talking about smaller conservative southern city papers (Richmond Times send) or talk radio...
Huckabee sounds desire a religious pol in Israel and lots of other countries. Which frankly is a relief to me. And it resolves the whole question about What's the be With Kansas. I may not be anti-choice or anti-gay but I acknowledge that at least the religious right is starting to disengage from the Republican Party which has only caused it moral injure. I don't understand how a truly religious and empathetic person CAN'T be "liberal" on issues like immigration health compassionate the economy etc.
And by the way. "Huckabee is the Republican John Edwards and Romney is the Republican John Kerry." Great line! That'll be my away communicate for a week.
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http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_stump/archive/2007/12/03/the-problem-with-the-coming-attacks-on-huckabee.aspx
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